Test it for billions of draws! I know, we were not built by beloved Mother Nature to live that long. I said previously that we were never ever to see equal frequencies in lotto games. The higher the odds (or lower the probability), the wider the frequency gap. The discrepancy is much wider in 6-number lotto games. Yet, some pick 3 lottery combinations have come out ten or more times, while another combination waited for over 6000 draws to see the daylight! (Real case: combination 2 1 4 in Pennsylvania Lottery.) In the pick-3 lottery game, every combination has the same probability: 1/1000. I presented on one of my Web pages ( Gambling, Lottery Analysis: Odds, House Edge, Fraud) the reality of lottery combinations. Life is a whole lot more complex than that. Real-life random events do not deal with simply one success in one trial. All real-life random events are characterized by successes and trials. Successes and trials are real elements, not abstract concepts. No event can have more than one success in one trial! Very logical - or is it? NOT! Most people confuse probability for degree of certainty! You need read more (at this Web site) on the essential distinction between probability and degree of certainty. This explains more clearly the requirement that the probability cannot be larger than 1. We can infuse more life into probability if we look at the probability as:Įxpected number of successes in one trial.
But the probability is rather an abstract concept. If the 6/49 lotto has a total of 13,983,816 combinations, and only one is drawn as the winner, the probability is undeniably 1 / 13,983,816. Let us start with the fundamental concept of probability. I was also strongly opinionated in this regard. If that's the goal, be advised to never play the statistically dreadful 1 2 3 4 5 6! Thusly, if you win the jackpot, the value of the prize would be “tragically” worse than meager! If one hits the lotto jackpot, one expects to turn into a never-work-for-others freak. Incidentally, the lottery combination 1-2-3-4-5-6 is played by thousands of lotto players worldwide in any drawing. It is the kind of issue that pits brother/sister against brother/sister, and enemy against foe.not to mention friend against lover. Only fools can waste their money and play such a combination!" It represents a weird arrangement of lottery numbers. I play it religiously!"Ģ: "NO, NO, NO! Lotto combination 1,2,3,4,5,6 should not be played.
In the event of a discrepancy between the information displayed on this website and the information in the official records maintained by the New York State Gaming Commission, the records maintained by the Gaming Commission shall prevail.1: "Lotto combination 1-2-3-4-5-6 has the same chance of being drawn as any other lottery combination. The information on this website is believed to be accurate. To talk with someone now about your gambling, visit or call the HOPEline 1-877-8-HOPENY (1-87) or text HOPENY (467369). You must be 21 or older to purchase a Quick Draw ticket where alcoholic beverages are served. You must be 18 years or older to purchase a Lottery ticket. Use of this website signifies your agreement to the Privacy Policy (updated 4.29.19).Īll New York Lottery transactions are subject to New York State Gaming Commission rules and regulations. New York Lottery trademarks and service marks may be used only with the prior permission of the New York State Gaming Commission.
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